The Washington Post has a great article this morning about independent analysis of Tim Donaghy's recent games. It points, pretty clearly, to something fishy on his part.
Read this, for example:
According to Bell, from Jan. 1, 2007, to the end of the regular season, the opening betting line -- the number that states which team is favored and by how many points -- of 12 games officiated by Donaghy changed 1 1/2 or more points, which is an indication that a lot of money had been bet. In those 12 games in which the money was predominately on one side, the money was right in 10 of them.
"Guys betting big money were right 10 out of 12 times," Bell said. "To me, that's a key number. Going 10-2, the odds of that are only 2 percent randomly."
Obviously, this does not prove Donaghy's guilt. But who's still uncertain? The FBI says this is part of a larger investigation into organized crime, and I don't usually bet against the FBI. If they are willing to let this go public, I'm sure they're convinced they're on to something. And if the FBI says he's guilty, he probably is.
The full article is here.
By the way, Donaghy was earning $260,000 a year.
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